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Author Topic: Declining League Membership/ USBC Membership = Simple Math  (Read 10465 times)

txbowler

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1990 - Men's Classic League
$15 - 28 teams - 36 weeks
Lineage = $4 a week
.50 sec fee
10.50 prize fund per bowler
---------------------
10.50 x 28 teams x 5 bowlers x 36 weeks = $ 52,920 prize fund
each bowler paying $540 for a share of nearly $53,000


2013 - Men's Classic League
$25 - 18 teams (ten have quit) - 36 weeks
Lineage = $13.50 a week
$1 sec fee
10.50 prize fund per bowler
---------------------
10.50 x 18 x 5 x 36 = $34,200
each bowler now paying $900 for a share of $34,200


End result is each bowler almost paying twice as much as they did at bowling's peak for a 35% lower price fund.

Like I said - simple math.  Double the cost for 1/3 less payout opportunity

I think I can guess why some people quit......
« Last Edit: April 26, 2013, 04:12:17 PM by txbowler »

 

JOE FALCO

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Re: Declining League Membership/ USBC Membership = Simple Math
« Reply #16 on: April 27, 2013, 12:59:09 PM »
Gizo .. just to understand your point .. are you suggesting that the weekly fee for bowling should be $30 so that you can continue the higher prize fund that was in the OP example? How many additional bowlers will you lose with that weekly cost?
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Long Gone Daddy

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Re: Declining League Membership/ USBC Membership = Simple Math
« Reply #17 on: April 27, 2013, 02:05:50 PM »
Our Sunday League offers big first place mone, $15K.  Weekly fees are $30.  Kegel Challenge series.  Nobody complains, even though top average bowlers are lucky to avg. 215 instead of 230 they do on house shots.  Guess what happened to the lower average bowlers?  They're averages dropped also.  Yet our league stays steady at 20-22 teams.
 
Lowering the scoring pace of bowling as a panacea to "heal" bowling is just so patently simplistic and would prove to be so ineffective over the years the idea should be dropped immediately.  What proponents of that absurd idea forget is skill is skill, higher skilled people will still score higher than lesser skilled players no matter how much the overall bar has been lowered or raised.  It's all relative.  I have no idea why some people can't get this thru their heads.  Our league experience proves it.

The reasons that bowling membership is down have already been mentioned.  High scoring isn't one of them.  I also don't know of anybody hat quit because of scores being to high but there are some people that I sure wish would so they'd quit posting the same nonsense over and over. 
Long Gone also posts the honest truth which is why i respect him. He posts these things knowing some may not like it.

Mainzer

Gizmo823

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Re: Declining League Membership/ USBC Membership = Simple Math
« Reply #18 on: April 27, 2013, 03:16:32 PM »
Our Sunday League offers big first place mone, $15K.  Weekly fees are $30.  Kegel Challenge series.  Nobody complains, even though top average bowlers are lucky to avg. 215 instead of 230 they do on house shots.  Guess what happened to the lower average bowlers?  They're averages dropped also.  Yet our league stays steady at 20-22 teams.
 
Lowering the scoring pace of bowling as a panacea to "heal" bowling is just so patently simplistic and would prove to be so ineffective over the years the idea should be dropped immediately.  What proponents of that absurd idea forget is skill is skill, higher skilled people will still score higher than lesser skilled players no matter how much the overall bar has been lowered or raised.  It's all relative.  I have no idea why some people can't get this thru their heads.  Our league experience proves it.

The reasons that bowling membership is down have already been mentioned.  High scoring isn't one of them.  I also don't know of anybody hat quit because of scores being to high but there are some people that I sure wish would so they'd quit posting the same nonsense over and over.

Like the first paragraph, but the next two are iffy.  I've seen a lot over the last 10 years that says otherwise.  I bowl with former PBA champions, I bowl with a USBC Nationals champion, and they in no way, shape or form have near as high a winning percentage on a house shot as they do on a tougher shot.  When you give guys 5-6 boards, it doesn't matter whether you can keep it within 2 or use all 6, it's a complete crap shoot.  You put them on a tougher shot, some 225 averages stay at 220, some drop to 190.  Not every 225 average is of an equal skill level, and that's what you're claiming.  I don't have enough fingers or toes to count all the people I know that have quit bowling in the last decade singularly because of the scoring pace. 
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txbowler

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Re: Declining League Membership/ USBC Membership = Simple Math
« Reply #19 on: April 27, 2013, 06:18:45 PM »
Would it be a safe connection of the dots that due to the rise in scoring pace the bowlers who quit, quit because they were no longer guaranteed a victory by their skills?  They were not making money? The new balls and easier lane conditions brought more bowlers pnto their level.  Fairly or not.  Not debating that.  Simply that since they were not making as much money, it was part of the equation.

Metal_rules

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Re: Declining League Membership/ USBC Membership = Simple Math
« Reply #20 on: April 27, 2013, 11:55:16 PM »
I don't just bowl to win - I also bowl because I love the game. I am there to do my best, to strike every frame. I want to dominate the lanes. I want to improve myself. I have to for the team. NEED i SAY MORE. I will always be on the lanes no matter what!
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spmcgivern

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Re: Declining League Membership/ USBC Membership = Simple Math
« Reply #21 on: April 29, 2013, 09:07:22 AM »
I have seen too many bowlers say they aren't in it for the money.  But get to this time of year and if they are in first place, they have already spent their winnings.  As for those not in the top of the standings, their reply is always, "I'm only bowling for fun.  Bowling isn't about the money." 

If bowling wasn't about the money, then their wouldn't be a big stink over the prize fund when it is voted on.  Yet every year in every league, there is complaining about the chosen option. 

Pinbuster

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Re: Declining League Membership/ USBC Membership = Simple Math
« Reply #22 on: April 29, 2013, 11:47:02 AM »
A large majority of the bowlers on this site may bowl for prize money.

And there probably has been a percentage of those type of bowlers that dropped out of league bowling because of declining prize funds.

But the vast majority of bowlers are your casual mixed/handicap league bowlers. While they may enjoy getting a small payout at the end of the year it is not the primary reason they bowl. And these are the very bowlers who have quit league bowling in droves and are the primary reason for the USBC declining membership.

txbowler

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Re: Declining League Membership/ USBC Membership = Simple Math
« Reply #23 on: April 29, 2013, 01:22:41 PM »
A large majority of the bowlers on this site may bowl for prize money.

And there probably has been a percentage of those type of bowlers that dropped out of league bowling because of declining prize funds.

But the vast majority of bowlers are your casual mixed/handicap league bowlers. While they may enjoy getting a small payout at the end of the year it is not the primary reason they bowl. And these are the very bowlers who have quit league bowling in droves and are the primary reason for the USBC declining membership.

Pinbuster:  Excellent point.  So is it just the overall cost of leagues?  Is it that there are cheaper options to occupy free time that have developed over the past 20-30 years (internet, facebook, video games, who knows)?  Is it that the blue collar business leagues have gone away?  Is it simply that the bowlers that made of the majority of the USBC membership at its peak simply aged out without replacing itself?  Or a mixture of all of the above, but we got to have one answer so we can solve that problem and bring it back?

I know that I do not have the answer.   I do enjoy the debate.  Maybe through that debate, someone will come up with a good idea.

Pinbuster

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Re: Declining League Membership/ USBC Membership = Simple Math
« Reply #24 on: April 29, 2013, 10:05:24 PM »
I sure don't have the answers.

Bowling was the Nintendo in the 50's, it was the fad thing to do and that continued for 20+ years.

But changes in society, job schedules, entertainment choices, and who knows what else has not brought into the game as nearly as many new members as bowlers who are aging out.

Tennis to me is in some ways the same. It really boomed in the late 60's thru the early 80's. Everyone was playing it for a while. But even though the money is still good at the professional level I believe the grass root popularity is not what it once was.

Gizmo823

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Re: Declining League Membership/ USBC Membership = Simple Math
« Reply #25 on: April 30, 2013, 08:48:38 AM »
Would it be a safe connection of the dots that due to the rise in scoring pace the bowlers who quit, quit because they were no longer guaranteed a victory by their skills?  They were not making money? The new balls and easier lane conditions brought more bowlers pnto their level.  Fairly or not.  Not debating that.  Simply that since they were not making as much money, it was part of the equation.

That's what I'm getting at, yes.  But you're completely right in saying that money is THE issue right now.  I'm just saying the scoring pace heavily contributed to that.  Yes, the more skilled bowler will still win the most, but not nearly as much as they *should* be. 

Nobody is happy in bowling right now because of the money.  Yeah people want to win, and yeah some people are in it just for fun, but the payouts at the end of the season still factor into it.  Nobody is going to sign up for something guaranteed to lose them money.  The handicap system is broken because there's a wider gap between the lows and the highs.  It's hard to accurately and fairly distribute handicap when the differences are 70-80 pins as opposed to 30-40.  Scratch league participants start leaving because accuracy is no longer a premium, with today's technology it almost puts you at a disadvantage because of how much quicker you burn up your shot.  Then those leagues get smaller and eventually disappear, so now those bowlers either have to quit or start bowling handicap leagues.  If they take their 225+ averages into handicap leagues where it's 90% of 220, then the 180 and lower averages start getting upset, because if they bowl their average and the 225 bowls their average, 225 guy wins every single time.  So instead of practicing to become better, they sit back and demand more handicap.  225 guy has a problem with this, because it's harder to shoot 225 than it is to shoot 180.  180 gets a can opener and a brooklyn and all the sudden they're over 200, 225 could never miss the pocket but get tapped and shoot 200, but that means they lose by 20 or 30, plus they put a lot of time and effort into having that kind of an average so they believe they SHOULD win the majority of the time.  So it swings back to the 180 average saying they can't compete with 250+ games the 225 shoots with average frequency without more handicap.  It's a vicious cycle that goes on and on, everyone is begrudging everyone else's circumstances. 

So basically what I'm saying is that our current situation is the symptom, very accurately observed, but it's not the disease.  If you still don't agree, I won't argue any further, but I do appreciate you at least understanding my viewpoint or the point I'm trying to make.  What you said is a big part of my angle on this subject. 
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storm making it rain

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Re: Declining League Membership/ USBC Membership = Simple Math
« Reply #26 on: April 30, 2013, 10:50:04 AM »
I'll admit I haven't read nearly a quarter of the posts in this thread, but here's my thoughts on the subject from what i've seen in my area (also being in the business)

5% of people quit because of scoring (most of these are the older generation of bowlers who when averaging 180-190 were the premier players.  And you're right they simply can't compete with the younger guys.

60% of the people quit because they don't see themselves getting any better and can sepnd their money on other things.  Now granted most of these people either A didn't try/practice/found a coach to get better.  This group also is joined by those who were talked into trying it out by their friends, did it for a year or two and decided to recreate somewhere else.

35% of people quit because they simply can't afford it.  Joining this group would be those who are starting families (ages 25-40) now these people are one of our biggest demographics.  In the last few years the economy hasn't been great, people may not have jobs, or simply people don't see the value of paying $20 per week and winning little money back.

Another problem is bowling has kinda of priced itself out.  I remember when I was growing up bowling was cheap, now if you want to take your family out to bowl, it's a $50 bill for about an hour and a half.  Where as (and i don't like comparing them) golf it's a 5-6 hour day on the course for comparable money.  So who's to fault? You can't fault the bowling center who has just as many bills as you do if not more, capital improvements in this game are $1 million (scoring, lanes, furniture) dollar projects which you wont ever recoup and will be outdated in 5 years.

I don't think scoring pace has anything to do with it at all (and i'm a scratch bowler), funny thing is these 195-220 house rats everyone bags on, they know they're not great, they don't want to practice, they don't care if they split boards.  And most of them bowl for the enjoyment of the game, being with their friends, and having a night out during the week.  And if i'd have to guess the highest percentage average in all sactioned bowlers is probably 160-190 not 225-240. 

In my opinion if the USBC ever tried to mandate a tougher condition, people would quit in droves.  But guess what they'd still bowl in unsanctioned leagues because the center could put down china for them and they'd still be happy.  At the end of the day what is the benefit to sanctioning for the 75-85% of players that don't bowl tournaments?

Would it be a safe connection of the dots that due to the rise in scoring pace the bowlers who quit, quit because they were no longer guaranteed a victory by their skills?  They were not making money? The new balls and easier lane conditions brought more bowlers pnto their level.  Fairly or not.  Not debating that.  Simply that since they were not making as much money, it was part of the equation.

That's what I'm getting at, yes.  But you're completely right in saying that money is THE issue right now.  I'm just saying the scoring pace heavily contributed to that.  Yes, the more skilled bowler will still win the most, but not nearly as much as they *should* be. 

Nobody is happy in bowling right now because of the money.  Yeah people want to win, and yeah some people are in it just for fun, but the payouts at the end of the season still factor into it.  Nobody is going to sign up for something guaranteed to lose them money.  The handicap system is broken because there's a wider gap between the lows and the highs.  It's hard to accurately and fairly distribute handicap when the differences are 70-80 pins as opposed to 30-40.  Scratch league participants start leaving because accuracy is no longer a premium, with today's technology it almost puts you at a disadvantage because of how much quicker you burn up your shot.  Then those leagues get smaller and eventually disappear, so now those bowlers either have to quit or start bowling handicap leagues.  If they take their 225+ averages into handicap leagues where it's 90% of 220, then the 180 and lower averages start getting upset, because if they bowl their average and the 225 bowls their average, 225 guy wins every single time.  So instead of practicing to become better, they sit back and demand more handicap.  225 guy has a problem with this, because it's harder to shoot 225 than it is to shoot 180.  180 gets a can opener and a brooklyn and all the sudden they're over 200, 225 could never miss the pocket but get tapped and shoot 200, but that means they lose by 20 or 30, plus they put a lot of time and effort into having that kind of an average so they believe they SHOULD win the majority of the time.  So it swings back to the 180 average saying they can't compete with 250+ games the 225 shoots with average frequency without more handicap.  It's a vicious cycle that goes on and on, everyone is begrudging everyone else's circumstances. 

So basically what I'm saying is that our current situation is the symptom, very accurately observed, but it's not the disease.  If you still don't agree, I won't argue any further, but I do appreciate you at least understanding my viewpoint or the point I'm trying to make.  What you said is a big part of my angle on this subject. 

Gizmo823

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Re: Declining League Membership/ USBC Membership = Simple Math
« Reply #27 on: April 30, 2013, 11:27:09 AM »
That's a good point about sanctioning.  People just join a league, and if it's sanctioned, they whine about it and pay their money, but that's as far as it goes. 

And yes, your last paragraph is correct.  Just like if you let a kid eat cookies and candy and cake for a solid month then try to make them start eating healthy, you're gonna have a bigger fight on your hands than if you'd just moderated it in the first place.  The USBC is in a no win situation, but they put themselves there. 

Yes, bowling has priced itself out.  You don't just walk in and bowl, it's bowling, shoes, food, it's an event that doesn't last very long and costs a lot.  A benefit though is that it IS indoors, and I think that's why open bowling is starting to pick up more.  Unless it's 70-80 degrees outside, nobody wants to be out, so what do we do?  We go bowling.  But at the same time, we are talking about league bowling, not open bowling. 

If you don't think scoring pace has anything to do with it, then you aren't very competitive, you show up to have fun, and you aren't worried about your payout at the end of the year.  Scoring pace may not affect or bother you specifically, but that doesn't mean it hasn't already made people quit in droves.  I'd say a 7.3 million drop in membership over 15 years qualifies as quitting in droves. 

Tell people prize funds are disappearing and that will make more people quit than a tougher shot will.  Everything has become so middle of the road that it's costing people money.  Scratch bowlers aren't making as much as they used to because of handicap.  Handicap bowlers can't make any money on their road to improvement because the big scores are too big.  There was an annual tournament here years ago, 1st was 1000 bucks, and the entry fee was 80, with side pots, high game pots, brackets, etc.  The last 3 years it was in existence, it took a minimum of a 258 average for NINE GAMES to take first, with a high the last year of 261.  The tournament folded because they couldn't get anyone to show up any more.  We also had a fairly prestigious tournament that the finals were actually shown on local tv, and it too fell by the wayside because the numbers were outrageous.  We used to have 3 pretty big scratch leagues in town, and people would even come watch.  The longer they went, the higher the scores got, and the people that used to come watch because they wanted to get into the leagues stopped coming to watch, and never considered joining because "I can't shoot scores like that all the time."  So tell me how none of that had to do with scoring pace . .
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storm making it rain

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Re: Declining League Membership/ USBC Membership = Simple Math
« Reply #28 on: April 30, 2013, 12:13:23 PM »
I happen to bowl in a region that holds the longest running scratch tournament in the country. This tournament is held 1-2 a month and has an average entry field of 150-300 entrants depending on the time of the year.  5 game format with an average cut score of roughly +125, some centers put out the house shot some put down challenge patterns.  No matter the condition the cream rises to the top, whether it be a grinder pattern with a cut score of +50 or a shootout with a cut of +200.  Of course you'll have players that will bowl good at certain venues on certain days (that's the nature of the game) anyone can beat anyone on any given day really.  And in those carry contests, the top players find a way to carry better (and yes there is a way to carry better than everyone else).

I'm actually very competitive while bowling, but in this day and age of leagues the $1000 i'm gonna win if i get 1st place isn't gonna make or break my bank account.  The glory days are long gone, there's no way around it.  You simply can't get a great prize fund without tons of sponsor dollars beacuse the lineage is higher now.  You can't have a league and pay $50 a night to make 1st place huge, because as stated before 85% of people aren't there for that reason.  Would I like to see a huge payout, of course this game is my passion, but guys like me are the minority these days.  And that has nothing at all to do with the scoring pace, it's all relative really.  When the high guy was 190 and everyone else averaged 160 (30 pins) to when the high guy was 210 and they were 180 (30 pins) and now you have 230-240 and alot of people are 200-210 (still 30 pins), now granted these are numbers of the higher tier versus the middle of the road people, but the same could be said about the once a weeker people having fun group.   

That's a good point about sanctioning.  People just join a league, and if it's sanctioned, they whine about it and pay their money, but that's as far as it goes. 

And yes, your last paragraph is correct.  Just like if you let a kid eat cookies and candy and cake for a solid month then try to make them start eating healthy, you're gonna have a bigger fight on your hands than if you'd just moderated it in the first place.  The USBC is in a no win situation, but they put themselves there. 

Yes, bowling has priced itself out.  You don't just walk in and bowl, it's bowling, shoes, food, it's an event that doesn't last very long and costs a lot.  A benefit though is that it IS indoors, and I think that's why open bowling is starting to pick up more.  Unless it's 70-80 degrees outside, nobody wants to be out, so what do we do?  We go bowling.  But at the same time, we are talking about league bowling, not open bowling. 

If you don't think scoring pace has anything to do with it, then you aren't very competitive, you show up to have fun, and you aren't worried about your payout at the end of the year.  Scoring pace may not affect or bother you specifically, but that doesn't mean it hasn't already made people quit in droves.  I'd say a 7.3 million drop in membership over 15 years qualifies as quitting in droves. 

Tell people prize funds are disappearing and that will make more people quit than a tougher shot will.  Everything has become so middle of the road that it's costing people money.  Scratch bowlers aren't making as much as they used to because of handicap.  Handicap bowlers can't make any money on their road to improvement because the big scores are too big.  There was an annual tournament here years ago, 1st was 1000 bucks, and the entry fee was 80, with side pots, high game pots, brackets, etc.  The last 3 years it was in existence, it took a minimum of a 258 average for NINE GAMES to take first, with a high the last year of 261.  The tournament folded because they couldn't get anyone to show up any more.  We also had a fairly prestigious tournament that the finals were actually shown on local tv, and it too fell by the wayside because the numbers were outrageous.  We used to have 3 pretty big scratch leagues in town, and people would even come watch.  The longer they went, the higher the scores got, and the people that used to come watch because they wanted to get into the leagues stopped coming to watch, and never considered joining because "I can't shoot scores like that all the time."  So tell me how none of that had to do with scoring pace . .

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Re: Declining League Membership/ USBC Membership = Simple Math
« Reply #29 on: April 30, 2013, 12:37:30 PM »
I have seen too many bowlers say they aren't in it for the money.  But get to this time of year and if they are in first place, they have already spent their winnings.  As for those not in the top of the standings, their reply is always, "I'm only bowling for fun.  Bowling isn't about the money." 

If bowling wasn't about the money, then their wouldn't be a big stink over the prize fund when it is voted on.  Yet every year in every league, there is complaining about the chosen option.

I bowl to win and I bowl because I enjoy spending time with my teammates.  The money is not a consideration.  I don't pass it up when I get it, but that isn't why I bowl.
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