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Look at the scores and maybe you can tell what your pin counts were instead. That will tell you what you were throwing on your first ball. In other words if you shot most 200's in the 205-225 range and they were composed of 9/ and x, then they were solid games, but if you shot 230 but you had  a couple of 6, 7, 8 counts in there, that will tell you that you are hitting the pocket on your first ball 7 out of 10 times rather than 10 out of 10 times.

Look at your percentage of first balls hitting the pocket, not necessarily strike percentage. A soft 10 pin is a minor adjustment. The big 4 is a larger adjustment etc...
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"A man gains his first measure of intelligence on that same day when he admits to his stupidity."

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