BallReviews

General Category => Miscellaneous => Topic started by: matt smith on December 14, 2003, 09:25:31 AM

Title: Why its so hard to bowl 300.
Post by: matt smith on December 14, 2003, 09:25:31 AM

So i was in the middle of a test today, and there was a whole bunch of technicle probability stuff in there, which got me thinking back to basic probability and how i could use it to explain why its so frickin hard to bowl 300.

Heres why... ehh... mathamatically speaking...

Say a bowler has a 50% chance of gettin a X. There is twelve shots in a game.
Raise .5 to the power of 12 and you get 0.000244140625. Thats a .00244140625% chance of bowling a 300 in any particular game. Which means you will bowl 1 300 for every 4096 games. If you bowl say 3 games a week it will take you 1365 weeks to bowl a 300... or 26 years. Even if you bowl say 20 games a week its still going to take you the bst part of 205 weeks to bowl one... or close enough to 4 years.

Now say you arnt QUITE at that level, and your X % is marginally lower, and it 45%. Raise .45 to the power of 12 and you get 0.000068952523554931640625 or a .000689% blah blah chance of bowling a 300. That small difference in ability means its now going to take you 14502 games, over 10000 more games, to bowl a 300. At 3 games a week (sorry if this scares the average house bowler), its going to take you, mathamatically speaking, 4684 weeks to bowl a 300..... or 90 years... damn i hope yall started bowling young!! Inversly if you bowl more the figures might sway in your favour a bit... 20 gamers with a 45% chance, your in for a 13-14 year wait.

Thats why it seems so hard. Mathamatically speaking.

good luck and high scoring
matt

Title: Re: Why its so hard to bowl 300.
Post by: Porkchop on December 15, 2003, 05:57:42 PM

Very interesting.  Thanks for posting.

Title: Re: Why its so hard to bowl 300.
Post by: Saw Mill on December 15, 2003, 06:02:27 PM

Yeah, thanks for the lesson in DEPRESSION and DISCOURAGEMENT!!! Sure is a good thing I do not believe ib the odds most of the time.  Here's a wrench for you, what about the guy that posted here that threw back-to-back 300s?  If it takes the better part of 205 weeks, I guess he is well ahead of the time table.

Dave
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If You Are Not Using a BuzzSaw, All You Get is SAW-dusted!!

Title: Re: Why its so hard to bowl 300.
Post by: matt smith on December 15, 2003, 09:24:30 PM

Warrior,

i completly agreed with you, thus why i kept saying... mathamatically speaking... i know there is no mathamatics to bowling, it was just an interesting thought that i came up with in an exam... now if only i could think of good stuff to write ON my exam....

good luck and high scoring
matt