Scroggins will have to start bowling better on TV if he wants to win PoY. Yes, he's made more shows, but except for his Masters title, he hasn't been bowling that well on TV. Yes, he's bowling very well until that point but those back-to-back sevens really make him look like the "league bowler", regardless of whether those were the only two he missed in two tournaments.
Remember, though, that PoY is voted on by the members, not the public, and most of the guys out bowling seriously in Regionals and the national tour can probably look at everything he's done to get to where he is, even if he did blow the last two TV shows (which is all we see).
If we don't have any three- or four-time titlists this year like last year, his one major title plus the rest of his season could be enough.
SH