This typically is where I think you cut off people who might make the show -- 100 pins out heading into match play after qualifying. Right now, with one game left in qualifying, here's who I think is still in it:

1 Norm Duke Clermont, Fla.      B      17      960      3786      +386      222.71
2    Chris Barnes    Double Oak, Texas    B    17    1026    3711    +311    218.29
3    Tony Reyes    San Bruno, Calif.    B    17    1019    3676    +276    216.24
4    Mike Scroggins    Amarillo, Texas    C    18    1369    3869    +269    214.94
5    Brad Angelo    Lockport, N.Y.    A    18    1357    3844    +244    213.56
6    Amleto Monacelli    Venezuela    C    18    1244    3842    +242    213.44
7    Doug Kent    Newark, N.Y.    A    18    1254    3840    +240    213.33
8    Tommy Jones    Simpsonville, S.C.    A    18    1284    3822    +222    212.33
9    Matthew O'Grady    South Amboy, N.J.    C    18    1175    3808    +208    211.56
10    Ronnie Russell    Indianapolis    A    18    1294    3800    +200    211.11
11    Jeff Lizzi    Sandusky, Ohio    C    18    1176    3788    +188    210.44
12    Eugene McCune    Munster, Ind.    A    18    1201    3774    +174    209.67
13    Mike Edwards    Tulsa, Okla.    C    18    1114    3754    +154    208.56
14    Don Allen III    Vancouver, Wash.    B    17    1045    3547    +147    208.65
15    Steve Jaros    Yorkville, Ill.    A    18    1313    3743    +143    207.94
16    P.J. Sonday    Avoca, Pa.    C    18    1255    3739    +139    207.72
17    Mika Koivuniemi    Hartland, Mich.    B    17    1051    3533    +133    207.82
17    Nathan Bohr    Wichita, Kan.    B    17    1047    3533    +133    207.82
19    Mike DeVaney    San Diego    C    18    1246    3731    +131    207.28

DeVaney is 113 behind Angelo, who is on the TV cut line.

Now, to show you how close they're packed, Jeff Carter is in 58th at +37. His first game of the tournament was a 143 (a lot of guys seemed to have a low first game -- first day qualifying, there were a ton of ams in the top 50. Duke started with a 168 and has a 146 in third-day qualifying). If Jeff had shot 243 rather than 143, he would be in 17th. (Not picking on you Jeff, I swear. )

First amateur is sitting in 20th at +128, Sean Riccardi.

I think Duke is as good as in. Barnes is 100 ahead of 8th place (Tommy Jones), so he's not completely safe but I still bet he makes it. I think the other three slots are up for grabs. Who you got?

Jess

Edited on 4/2/2009 8:49 PM