Brian, if we have 440 over after 2 I would wager we will get to 3,500.
But NO TEAM has had 440 over after 2 this year. The most so far is 354 over after 2. Check results here:
There has NEVER been a 3,500 since the tournament went to all fresh oil for team event. 3,496 in 2006 is high and that was when the gutter was open to start.
COULD it happen? Of course. Would I bet on it? I'd bet AGAINST it.
My Chicken Little was aimed at those who predicted 3,500, 1,600, 860 and 2,300 after one week of this year's tournament. FYI: leading scores right now are 3,439, 1,447(!), 826, 2,268.
I waited to make some predictions in my blog until about a month had been bowled and mine are looking much more reasonable than those of the Chicken Littles.
In 2 1/2 months we will know how much the sky fell.
And, even if it does, the bigger issue by far is FRESH OIL FOR ALL SQUADS! People worried about scoring pace should direct their energy at that FAR MORE IMPORTANT ISSUE!!!!
The No. 1 source for bowling news, analysis and opinion is my blog, The 11th Frame, which is here:
http://host.madison.com/sports/recreation/bowling/